Beach Drive Blog

Wind and Tides Update for tonight and Saturday

Weather changes often, so please check the links on the left side-bar for current forecast.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT...RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SAT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS.

Seattle City Forecast:

TONIGHT...BREEZY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING...THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SATURDAY...WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

National Weather Service for West Seattle:

Tonight: Showers, mainly before 10pm. Low around 41. South southwest wind between 13 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday: Showers. High near 44. Breezy, with a south wind between 21 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

And the upcoming tides:

Friday, February 17 at 7:32 pm (publishing this post about 8:12pm) we have a -0.4.

Saturday, February 18:

• 3:26 am: 11.2 
• 8:44 am: 7.0
• 1:31 pm: 10.4
• 8:28 pm: -0.6

Wind Advisory until Midnight

This from the National Weather Service: 

Tonight: Rain. Low around 41. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 24 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Wednesday: Showers. High near 47. South southwest wind 8 to 11 mph increasing to between 17 and 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Tides are heading down from a high tidee of 10.6 at 5:01 tonight to a -0.7 at 11:36 tonight and back up to a 12.5 at 6:38 Wednesday morning.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...

REST OF THE AFTERNOON...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS.

WED...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.

 

Another wind storm coming Sunday

Weather forecast can and do change.  At 4:30 this morning, we issued a "barking dog" report which basically means that we're preparing to possibly flood or lose power because of high winds, tides and waves slurping over the bulkhead.  A "barking dog" would be like your neighbors friendly retreiver who howls when he thinks something may be wrong - sometimes he's right, sometimes not...but always on the lookout with best intentions. 

We indeed have water coming over our bulkhead and thankfully have a back-up pump since the first one failed.  

This photo is of our neighbors patio where the waves knocked some of the brick pavers out.

 

 

Our next high tides are an 11.3 at 2:25 this afternoon and a 12.3 at 5:08 Sunday morning followed by a 11.2 at 3:20 pm Sunday afternoon.

Here's what the NWS has now:

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Breezy, with a south southwest wind around 28 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. 

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 14 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Rain. High near 46. Southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 40. Windy, with a south southeast wind 18 to 21 mph increasing to between 28 and 31 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Monday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 44. South southwest wind between 17 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%

Seattle area forecast via UW:

TODAY...WINDY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH EASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT...WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

 

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT...EASING IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT...EASING AND BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT...SUBSIDING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SUN...SE WIND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

SUN NIGHT...S WIND RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT.

We hope you stay warm and safe!

BARKING DOG REPORT: WIND AND WAVES

 

It's been a while since we've issued a barking dog report - I'll explain more later. Right now we're dealing with extreme wind at high tide causing water to slosh over the bulkhead. This is the type of situation where neighbors may experience flooding - especially if we lose power.  The following is what info we have as of 4:00 am (at the time of publishing this post):

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM.

National Weather Service:

Today: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 46. Windy, with a south southwest wind between 28 and 34 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 14 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Marine Forecast:

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT...EASING IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT...EASING AND BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT...SUBSIDING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SUN...SE WIND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

SUN NIGHT...S WIND RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT.

UPDATE 5:35 am: just noticed NWS has "gusts as high as 55 mph" through Sunday.

Sunday: Rain. High near 46. Southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 40. Windy, with a south southeast wind 18 to 21 mph increasing to between 28 and 31 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

TIDES:

Saturday, January 21:

• 4:30 am at 11.9
• 9:37 am at 7.4
• 2:25 pm at 11.3
• 9:30 pm at -2.0

Sunday, January 22;

• 5:08 am at 12.3
• 10:28 am at 6.9
• 3:20 pm at 11.2
• 10:14 pm at -1.9

 

From round 1:

First snow and ice. What's next? WIND with High Tides

This morning the snow is melting and Beach Drive around Jacobson seems clear, wet and slushy.  

 

What's next? Why strong winds, of course!

NWS for West Seattle area:

Today: Occasional snow and freezing drizzle before 10am, then rain. Snow level 200 feet rising to 3700 feet. High near 40. East northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south southeast. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

Tonight: Rain. Low around 40. Southeast wind around 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Saturday: Showers likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Windy, with a southwest wind between 21 and 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind between 11 and 14 mph. 

Sunday: Rain. High near 45. South southeast wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90% 

City of Seattle and vincinity:

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...

TODAY...OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH OF INCH OR LESS. HIGHS NEAR 40. LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...BECOMING WINDY...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH LATE.

SATURDAY...WINDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON PST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

TODAY...NE WIND 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE AND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 FT...BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.

TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT...BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. RAIN.

SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

MON...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

Seattle area tides: 

Friday, January 20:

• 1:27 pm at 11.4 
• 8:42 pm at  -1.8 

Saturday, January 21:

• 4:30 am at 11.9
• 9:37 am at 7.4
• 2:25 pm at 11.3
• 9:30 pm at -2.0

Sunday, January 22;

• 5:08 am at 12.3
• 10:28 am at 6.9
• 3:20 pm at 11.2
• 10:14 pm at -1.9

Still reading? Here are some photos from a walk Scupper and I took yesterday in the snow along Beach Drive. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Winter Storm Warning through Wednesday

This morning could be a good time to make sure your generator is working!  I just heard local news media say "we could get a foot of snow at sea level tomorrow".

Here is the forecast for the Seattle area. I'm concerned about the WIND combined with the snow.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

TODAY...SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS ENDING IN THE EVENING. SNOW DEVELOPING LATE. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES. BECOMING WINDY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 9 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY...SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THURSDAY...SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY...

TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT...BECOMING NW 5 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OVER THE N SOUND...NW WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT...SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT...NE WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.

WED...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. SNOW.

WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT...EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS.

THU...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.

THU NIGHT...SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.

Tides via NOAA:

 

 

 

We have considerable high tides that when combined with wind in the forecast, could be concerning.

 

SNOW

 

The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory that will be in effect until 10pm tonight. We have snow mentioned in the forecast through Wednesday!  

Do you have photos of the snow you'd like to share? Post them on our Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/beachdriveblog

Update: here are some more photos from this afternoon around 2:30pm.

 

 

 

Vashon with snow.

 

 

Emma Schmitz View Point

Wind Advisory through early Thursday Morning

Are we having fun yet? I'm feeling like a weather channel!

We have another front coming through with a Wind Advisory until 6:00 am and Small Craft Advisory in effect until 4:00 am tomorrow morning.  

Next super high tide is a 12.48 at 8:26 am tomorrow morning.

Here's the latest reports:

National Weather Service Wind Advisory:

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL AND NORTH WASHINGTON COAST...NORTHWEST INTERIOR...AND PUGET SOUND REGION. * TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WIND...LOCAL SUSTAINED WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL PROBABLY OCCUR AT THE COAST AND IN THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR.

 

Seattle City Forecast:

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY...

TONIGHT...WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH.

THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY...WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH.

 

Puget Sound Marine:

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST THURSDAY...

TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT...BECOMING 20 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN 15 TO 25 KT LATE. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN.

THU...S WIND 5 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SE 5 TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

THU NIGHT...SE WIND 5 TO 15 KT...BECOMING S 10 TO 20 KT LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SW 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FRI...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT.

FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT...EASING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

 

Wet and Windy Weather with King Tides to Wrap Up 2011

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory which began at 6pm tonight and runs until 4am this morning.  It looks like we'll have several fronts from tonight until Friday.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING...PEAK IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE AT THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR.

* IMPACTS...LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL BRANCHES.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST THURSDAY...

TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 3 FT. RAIN.

WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT...BECOMING 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 TO 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 25 KT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THU...S WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FT.

THU NIGHT...SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.

FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT...RISING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT.

FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT...BECOMING S 5 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.

Click here for a recap on the King Tides.

Wind Advisory and Gale Warning through Tuesday

We're in for some weather. Of course the forcast may and often do change... here is what we're reading now:

National Weather Service:

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON PST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON PST TUESDAY. * WIND...SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

Puget Sound Marine Forcast:

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.

TUE...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT...EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS.

...combine this with super high tides of 12.03 at 12:45 pm followed by a 9.75 at 2:26 am on Tuesday and a 12.2 high tide on Tuesday at 1:26pm.